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🇺🇸ФРС США ужесточила прогноз по ставке.

В 2024 г. прогноз ставки повышен на +0,5 п.п. до 5,1% (только одно снижение в этом году).
В 2025 г. выше на +0,2 п.п. до 4,1%.
В 2026 г. без изменений 3,1%.
Нейтральный долгосрочный диапазон также повышен на +0,2 п.п. до 2,8%.

Это жесткий сценарий. Рынок частично надеялся на два снижения.
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🇺🇸ФРС США ужесточила прогноз по ставке.

В 2024 г. прогноз ставки повышен на +0,5 п.п. до 5,1% (только одно снижение в этом году).
В 2025 г. выше на +0,2 п.п. до 4,1%.
В 2026 г. без изменений 3,1%.
Нейтральный долгосрочный диапазон также повышен на +0,2 п.п. до 2,8%.

Это жесткий сценарий. Рынок частично надеялся на два снижения.
#макро HOTLINE

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You may recall that, back when Facebook started changing WhatsApp’s terms of service, a number of news outlets reported on, and even recommended, switching to Telegram. Pavel Durov even said that users should delete WhatsApp “unless you are cool with all of your photos and messages becoming public one day.” But Telegram can’t be described as a more-secure version of WhatsApp. Despite Telegram's origins, its approach to users' security has privacy advocates worried. "There are several million Russians who can lift their head up from propaganda and try to look for other sources, and I'd say that most look for it on Telegram," he said. Founder Pavel Durov says tech is meant to set you free The channel appears to be part of the broader information war that has developed following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The Kremlin has paid Russian TikTok influencers to push propaganda, according to a Vice News investigation, while ProPublica found that fake Russian fact check videos had been viewed over a million times on Telegram.
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