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From Text to Quantified Insights: A Large-Scale LLM Analysis of Central Bank Communication
Summary: - Paper introduces a classification framework to analyze central bank communications across four dimensions: topic, communication stance, sentiment, and audience - Study uses a large language model to classify individual sentences from 74,882 documents from 169 central banks spanning 1884 to 2025 - Monetary policy communication shifts significantly with inflation targeting, moving from backward-looking exchange rate discussions to forward-looking statements on inflation, interest rates, and economic conditions - Central banks tailor messages to different audiences, with stable risk communication for decades but changes during crises - Forward-looking risk communication predicts future market volatility, showing that central bank language plays a dual role across monetary and financial stability channels
From Text to Quantified Insights: A Large-Scale LLM Analysis of Central Bank Communication
Summary: - Paper introduces a classification framework to analyze central bank communications across four dimensions: topic, communication stance, sentiment, and audience - Study uses a large language model to classify individual sentences from 74,882 documents from 169 central banks spanning 1884 to 2025 - Monetary policy communication shifts significantly with inflation targeting, moving from backward-looking exchange rate discussions to forward-looking statements on inflation, interest rates, and economic conditions - Central banks tailor messages to different audiences, with stable risk communication for decades but changes during crises - Forward-looking risk communication predicts future market volatility, showing that central bank language plays a dual role across monetary and financial stability channels
Emerson Brooking, a disinformation expert at the Atlantic Council's Digital Forensic Research Lab, said: "Back in the Wild West period of content moderation, like 2014 or 2015, maybe they could have gotten away with it, but it stands in marked contrast with how other companies run themselves today." The next bit isn’t clear, but Durov reportedly claimed that his resignation, dated March 21st, was an April Fools’ prank. TechCrunch implies that it was a matter of principle, but it’s hard to be clear on the wheres, whos and whys. Similarly, on April 17th, the Moscow Times quoted Durov as saying that he quit the company after being pressured to reveal account details about Ukrainians protesting the then-president Viktor Yanukovych. I want a secure messaging app, should I use Telegram? Although some channels have been removed, the curation process is considered opaque and insufficient by analysts. Ukrainian forces have since put up a strong resistance to the Russian troops amid the war that has left hundreds of Ukrainian civilians, including children, dead, according to the United Nations. Ukrainian and international officials have accused Russia of targeting civilian populations with shelling and bombardments.
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