К трём губернаторам «чёрный лебедь» может приплыть уже этой осенью. Там, где в сентябре 2023 года провалятся выборы в региональные парламенты, а срок губернаторских полномочий будет подходить к концу в 2024 году, решение о досрочной отставке примут легче всего. В этой зоне риска - Александр Осипов (Забайкальский край), Радий Хабиров (Башкортостан) и Бату Хасиков (Калмыкия). Дмитрий Федечкин
К трём губернаторам «чёрный лебедь» может приплыть уже этой осенью. Там, где в сентябре 2023 года провалятся выборы в региональные парламенты, а срок губернаторских полномочий будет подходить к концу в 2024 году, решение о досрочной отставке примут легче всего. В этой зоне риска - Александр Осипов (Забайкальский край), Радий Хабиров (Башкортостан) и Бату Хасиков (Калмыкия). Дмитрий Федечкин
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"The inflation fire was already hot and now with war-driven inflation added to the mix, it will grow even hotter, setting off a scramble by the world’s central banks to pull back their stimulus earlier than expected," Chris Rupkey, chief economist at FWDBONDS, wrote in an email. "A spike in inflation rates has preceded economic recessions historically and this time prices have soared to levels that once again pose a threat to growth." One thing that Telegram now offers to all users is the ability to “disappear” messages or set remote deletion deadlines. That enables users to have much more control over how long people can access what you’re sending them. Given that Russian law enforcement officials are reportedly (via Insider) stopping people in the street and demanding to read their text messages, this could be vital to protect individuals from reprisals. Stocks dropped on Friday afternoon, as gains made earlier in the day on hopes for diplomatic progress between Russia and Ukraine turned to losses. Technology stocks were hit particularly hard by higher bond yields. Some people used the platform to organize ahead of the storming of the U.S. Capitol in January 2021, and last month Senator Mark Warner sent a letter to Durov urging him to curb Russian information operations on Telegram. That hurt tech stocks. For the past few weeks, the 10-year yield has traded between 1.72% and 2%, as traders moved into the bond for safety when Russia headlines were ugly—and out of it when headlines improved. Now, the yield is touching its pandemic-era high. If the yield breaks above that level, that could signal that it’s on a sustainable path higher. Higher long-dated bond yields make future profits less valuable—and many tech companies are valued on the basis of profits forecast for many years in the future.
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