Comparative evaluation of behavioral epidemic models using COVID-19 data
Modeling the interplay between human behavior and infectious disease transmission remains one of the key challenges in Epidemiology. In this study, we evaluate the performance of three mechanistic behavioral epidemic models designed to address this issue. We compare data-driven and analytical approaches across the first COVID-19 wave, spanning nine diverse locations and two modeling tasks. While the optimal model may vary depending on factors such as data availability and geography, our findings show that approaches explicitly modeling behavioral feedback mechanisms often outperform data-driven approaches, even when considering data quality and the increased numbers of free parameters of these models.
Comparative evaluation of behavioral epidemic models using COVID-19 data
Modeling the interplay between human behavior and infectious disease transmission remains one of the key challenges in Epidemiology. In this study, we evaluate the performance of three mechanistic behavioral epidemic models designed to address this issue. We compare data-driven and analytical approaches across the first COVID-19 wave, spanning nine diverse locations and two modeling tasks. While the optimal model may vary depending on factors such as data availability and geography, our findings show that approaches explicitly modeling behavioral feedback mechanisms often outperform data-driven approaches, even when considering data quality and the increased numbers of free parameters of these models.
Friday’s performance was part of a larger shift. For the week, the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell 2%, 2.9%, and 3.5%, respectively. Since its launch in 2013, Telegram has grown from a simple messaging app to a broadcast network. Its user base isn’t as vast as WhatsApp’s, and its broadcast platform is a fraction the size of Twitter, but it’s nonetheless showing its use. While Telegram has been embroiled in controversy for much of its life, it has become a vital source of communication during the invasion of Ukraine. But, if all of this is new to you, let us explain, dear friends, what on Earth a Telegram is meant to be, and why you should, or should not, need to care. Additionally, investors are often instructed to deposit monies into personal bank accounts of individuals who claim to represent a legitimate entity, and/or into an unrelated corporate account. To lend credence and to lure unsuspecting victims, perpetrators usually claim that their entity and/or the investment schemes are approved by financial authorities. Telegram, which does little policing of its content, has also became a hub for Russian propaganda and misinformation. Many pro-Kremlin channels have become popular, alongside accounts of journalists and other independent observers. In the past, it was noticed that through bulk SMSes, investors were induced to invest in or purchase the stocks of certain listed companies.
from hk
