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Think births are inflated in many African countries like Nigeria. Despite its enormous geographic size (bigger than China & India combined by a lot) Sub Saharan Africa will top out far below 2.5 billion people not the 4 billion so many mistakenly seem to think. TFR plummeting.

Most countries in Africa are likely to be below replacement by 2040 at the latest. Just look at current trends. Southern Africa is already below 3.0 TFR. As Africa urbanizes and becomes more smartphone user heavy TFR will fall like a rock.
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Think births are inflated in many African countries like Nigeria. Despite its enormous geographic size (bigger than China & India combined by a lot) Sub Saharan Africa will top out far below 2.5 billion people not the 4 billion so many mistakenly seem to think. TFR plummeting.

Most countries in Africa are likely to be below replacement by 2040 at the latest. Just look at current trends. Southern Africa is already below 3.0 TFR. As Africa urbanizes and becomes more smartphone user heavy TFR will fall like a rock.

BY Demographics Now and Then







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