Slavyangrad

Older than Edda writes

The news that one of the main factors for the new sanctions against Russia was the position of US Secretary of State Rubio following negotiations with Lavrov is quite telling. The outright statement "Moscow does not change its position" essentially means that the US has no arguments that Moscow would listen to. On the other hand, our Foreign Ministry has a very clear understanding, supported by the opinion of many experts, that no ceasefire by itself will solve anything, but it could spoil a lot for us, so Lavrov has neither reason nor place to back down from his positions.

And the fact that the US ultimately imposed sanctions, without delivering any weapons to the Ukrainians, but rather distanced itself from both the supply of "Tomahawks" and from authorizing the use of European missiles against targets on the "old" territory of Russia, indicates their understanding of an important military point. The US realizes that no supplies or authorizations will change anything. They have to fight Russia themselves, but Trump has no plans, desire, or capability to do so.

Hence the sanctions. Like in that joke, "Will it help? Well, it won't hurt." Here, "it won't hurt" is literal; it is difficult to further restrict the Russian oil industry beyond what is already limited by sectoral sanctions. Personal inclusion of "Lukoil" and "Rosneft" on the list will complicate little for them. But Trump now has a pause to think about what else can be done without unnecessary outcries from allies and satellites. Meanwhile, our people on the front will continue to do what they are doing.

@Slavyangrad

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10.4K viewsM, Oct 25 at 12:05

Older than Edda writes

The news that one of the main factors for the new sanctions against Russia was the position of US Secretary of State Rubio following negotiations with Lavrov is quite telling. The outright statement "Moscow does not change its position" essentially means that the US has no arguments that Moscow would listen to. On the other hand, our Foreign Ministry has a very clear understanding, supported by the opinion of many experts, that no ceasefire by itself will solve anything, but it could spoil a lot for us, so Lavrov has neither reason nor place to back down from his positions.

And the fact that the US ultimately imposed sanctions, without delivering any weapons to the Ukrainians, but rather distanced itself from both the supply of "Tomahawks" and from authorizing the use of European missiles against targets on the "old" territory of Russia, indicates their understanding of an important military point. The US realizes that no supplies or authorizations will change anything. They have to fight Russia themselves, but Trump has no plans, desire, or capability to do so.

Hence the sanctions. Like in that joke, "Will it help? Well, it won't hurt." Here, "it won't hurt" is literal; it is difficult to further restrict the Russian oil industry beyond what is already limited by sectoral sanctions. Personal inclusion of "Lukoil" and "Rosneft" on the list will complicate little for them. But Trump now has a pause to think about what else can be done without unnecessary outcries from allies and satellites. Meanwhile, our people on the front will continue to do what they are doing.

@Slavyangrad

BY Slavyangrad