🔮🇺🇸 #macro Kalshi odds show a 97% chance of a 25 bps cut today, but the real risk is the Fed’s 2026 outlook.
September projections signaled only one cut next year and a 3.4% year-end rate. Analysts expect guidance to turn neutral to hawkish as the Fed stays on hold into early 2026, potentially pressuring equities.
Powell is likely to emphasize that further cuts require weaker inflation or higher unemployment. With his term ending in May, today’s decision and press conference will be closely watched.
The FOMC rate decision will be announced in 30 minutes⏰
🔮🇺🇸 #macro Kalshi odds show a 97% chance of a 25 bps cut today, but the real risk is the Fed’s 2026 outlook.
September projections signaled only one cut next year and a 3.4% year-end rate. Analysts expect guidance to turn neutral to hawkish as the Fed stays on hold into early 2026, potentially pressuring equities.
Powell is likely to emphasize that further cuts require weaker inflation or higher unemployment. With his term ending in May, today’s decision and press conference will be closely watched.
The FOMC rate decision will be announced in 30 minutes⏰
Telegram was co-founded by Pavel and Nikolai Durov, the brothers who had previously created VKontakte. VK is Russia’s equivalent of Facebook, a social network used for public and private messaging, audio and video sharing as well as online gaming. In January, SimpleWeb reported that VK was Russia’s fourth most-visited website, after Yandex, YouTube and Google’s Russian-language homepage. In 2016, Forbes’ Michael Solomon described Pavel Durov (pictured, below) as the “Mark Zuckerberg of Russia.” These entities are reportedly operating nine Telegram channels with more than five million subscribers to whom they were making recommendations on selected listed scrips. Such recommendations induced the investors to deal in the said scrips, thereby creating artificial volume and price rise. The S&P 500 fell 1.3% to 4,204.36, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.7% to 32,943.33. The Dow posted a fifth straight weekly loss — its longest losing streak since 2019. The Nasdaq Composite tumbled 2.2% to 12,843.81. Though all three indexes opened in the green, stocks took a turn after a new report showed U.S. consumer sentiment deteriorated more than expected in early March as consumers' inflation expectations soared to the highest since 1981. Crude oil prices edged higher after tumbling on Thursday, when U.S. West Texas intermediate slid back below $110 per barrel after topping as much as $130 a barrel in recent sessions. Still, gas prices at the pump rose to fresh highs. The Security Service of Ukraine said in a tweet that it was able to effectively target Russian convoys near Kyiv because of messages sent to an official Telegram bot account called "STOP Russian War."
from sg
