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There is a lot anyone can discuss, therorize, or lie about. However, there is only one certainty: there are no certainties in this world. This is no different from what people from military backgrounds claim: No matter how you plan for war, the chaos of the war will nullify all your plans.
But this is only true for those militaries that fail to plan properly or for those who are driven to their own defeat when destroyed from within.
We can exclude the certainty of God's existence and God's promise that in the end, the honest good moral people will triumph. But until then, we do our best and disregard the results because as his eminence once said: Our duty is to work patiently and tirelessly for the goal and not worry about the results, as however things end up, the world is governed by He—for us the end is either one of these: sweet victory or sweet martyrdom.
Despite this noble belief, and despite his eminence's success in bringing about the rise of the Shia in Lebanon from the oppressed to a force to be reckoned with in the whole world, things have changed. The tides have washed away a lot of the success that was accomplished. However, to be fair, this was not due to the failure of his eminence or the great men under his leadership, but rather certain gaps from which the consequence of the current state of events came to be.
The thing that is most painful is not his death, not the death of the leadership that created the golden era; an era of unpreceded peace and deterrence which is unrivaled for centuries in terms of inferior weapons and numbers against a nuclear state supported by a nuclear empire. Rather, it is the collapse of the entirety of what they built before they could prove its ultimate worth.
For simplicity's sake, they did not get the opportunity to prove to us the genius behind the non-state unconventional strength they created and prepared for the 3rd war with Israel. This was the last time this doctrine was ever going to be used in Lebanon, given the circumstances, and it was the time for it to change the course of this 70+ year old conflict, and become the first crack in the walls of the Jewish Kingdom. But with the sabotage that happened, followed by the intelligence-based air campaign that not only debunked decades of theories about the limitation of what an air force could achieve, but successfully decapitated Hezbollah's leadership and took away all the tools (and men) it had prepared for this day.
I have already discussed this countless times, and elaborated on the conditions under which the war was fought. I explained how it ended positively, but the lack of deterrence and the poor results in harming Israel facilitated the path to our current state of affairs, which only ever degraded further due to the fall of Syria.
I also discussed the future and what to expect, and how hard it is to rebuild both our homes and the resistance. But I will do that again today, post-Israeli war on Iran, with the unfortunate failure of the Axis of Resistance to achieve what it planned for and what it prepared itself to do for years yet again.
The issue here is that you can not pinpoint a single shortcoming to claim that this project had these weak points and they led to the collapse we have now. We now have a weakened Iran, an oppressed Hezbullah, a decimated Gaza (Hamas, PIJ), and a Syria that no longer has our backs. In the case of Iran, I would say that the number #1 cause of the poor military achievement in the last war was the military doctrine that revolved around a single method of offense, which was known to everyone, and which was the main focus of every single decision taken by their enemies in the past two decades in their efforts to nullify it.
They put all their eggs in one basket, and Israel punched a hole in that basket, and so Iran lost the effectiveness of its only tool of offense.
BY Lebanese News and Updates
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