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💸 Хроники пикирующего курса

Курс рубля продолжает стремительно обесцениваться к доллару (рынок 111/113) и юаню (почти 15.00), теряя около 10% за последние пять дней, 20% - с начала сентября и почти 25% с летних максимумов.

Мой базовый прогноз предполагал уровни менее 100/USD до конца года, и переход отметки 100 только в 2025. Так же считали и аналитики в любом доступном консенсусе/опросе.

До стабилизации ситуации давать какие-то прогнозы бессмысленно, но общими наблюдениями поделиться можно. Как я смотрю на происходящее?



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💸 Хроники пикирующего курса

Курс рубля продолжает стремительно обесцениваться к доллару (рынок 111/113) и юаню (почти 15.00), теряя около 10% за последние пять дней, 20% - с начала сентября и почти 25% с летних максимумов.

Мой базовый прогноз предполагал уровни менее 100/USD до конца года, и переход отметки 100 только в 2025. Так же считали и аналитики в любом доступном консенсусе/опросе.

До стабилизации ситуации давать какие-то прогнозы бессмысленно, но общими наблюдениями поделиться можно. Как я смотрю на происходящее?

BY Полевой


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There was another possible development: Reuters also reported that Ukraine said that Belarus could soon join the invasion of Ukraine. However, the AFP, citing a Pentagon official, said the U.S. hasn’t yet seen evidence that Belarusian troops are in Ukraine. Perpetrators of these scams will create a public group on Telegram to promote these investment packages that are usually accompanied by fake testimonies and sometimes advertised as being Shariah-compliant. Interested investors will be asked to directly message the representatives to begin investing in the various investment packages offered. At its heart, Telegram is little more than a messaging app like WhatsApp or Signal. But it also offers open channels that enable a single user, or a group of users, to communicate with large numbers in a method similar to a Twitter account. This has proven to be both a blessing and a curse for Telegram and its users, since these channels can be used for both good and ill. Right now, as Wired reports, the app is a key way for Ukrainians to receive updates from the government during the invasion. "There are a lot of things that Telegram could have been doing this whole time. And they know exactly what they are and they've chosen not to do them. That's why I don't trust them," she said. Emerson Brooking, a disinformation expert at the Atlantic Council's Digital Forensic Research Lab, said: "Back in the Wild West period of content moderation, like 2014 or 2015, maybe they could have gotten away with it, but it stands in marked contrast with how other companies run themselves today."
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